CHELMSFORD STAKES - Randwick, 1600m R8
The Chelmsford Stakes is ostensibly the feature race of the day, as a WFA Group 2 over the famous Randwick mile. But it will no doubt be upstaged by the Concorde Stakes, which although only a Group 3, has been allocated $1M in prizemoney by Racing NSW to attract sprinters that are Everest bound.
Think It Over has come up a warm favourite after only being beaten a length and a half in the Winx Stakes first-up. Given it was his first run in 16 months, punters are expecting him to take marked improvement, and 1600m is more in his wheelhouse than 1400m was. Is he a candidate for a flat run second-up off such a break though?
Hinged beat Think It Over home in the Winx Stakes, and is the only horse from the top five in that race presenting here. There was very little between them though, and she is such an honest campaigner that is due a win. It might come down to track condition, although both horses can run well on anything.
Lindermann could be the surprise packet, if he can bounce back from his Winx Stakes failure. The Rosehill Guineas winner was the first horse beaten there, but pulled up with a coughing fit, so clearly wasn’t in the best of health. He’s the only on-speed runner that should have some speed in his legs, so if he is back to 100%, then he’s a danger at odds.
Montefilia is a very interesting runner. Her last four campaigns before this one, she resumed at the Randwick 1600m, whereas now under Chris Waller she strikes this race second-up with a 1400m run under the belt. It was a good one too, but Waller is a patient trainer and may not have her peaking here.
Selections: 1.Think It Over 2.Hinged 3.Lindermann 4.Montefilia
THINK IT OVER
* Odds Correct At Time Of Posting. Check Playup Website For Latest Odds