The Tancred Stakes over 2400m is always the key lead-up race to look at, given it is run at weight-for-age and horses will be dropping varying amounts of weight into this handicap.
The lightly-raced Cleveland has been favourite for this race since his lovely closing fifth in the Tancred first-up. We know he will relish 3200m given he’s a winner in Europe over further, he drops 8kg’s from that run into this, and should handle whatever track conditions get thrown up.
He’s the one to beat, which the market reflects, but is at a comfortable enough price to get a good return.